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Tuesday, June 28, 2005

More White Sox

In a recent comment on this post about the Chicago White Sox, The Gazetteer asks if my June 2 take on the team needs to be revised now that we're at the end of June and, contrary to my expectations, they still have a .676 winning percentage and lead the AL Central by nine games. I think my analysis was fairly sound, and I still think that the Sox pitchers will come back to earth sometime in the near future. Although, at this point in the season those pitchers may have outperformed their career norms long enough that even a return to those norms (or even falling below those norms briefly) might not be damaging enough to keep the Sox from winning their division.

Better math minds than mine have looked at this team and seen its performance as unsustainable. Dan Agonistes on June 20, for instance. In a sort follow-up article to that post yesterday at the Hardball Times, Dan looked at the Pythagorean formula for teams' expected winning percentages.

3 comments:

Humble Servant said...

My son, the ninja (all the way to Williamsport this year or bust), has one of those computer games that lets him pick teams. He plays a White Sox team that he says is in first place. Well, of course--he drafted Frank Thomas, Sammy Sosa and Hammy Hamster.

Gazetteer said...

Oh humble one--

What?

And he didn't take that barefoot guy.

In all seriousness I remember the days when Larry Himes sent Sammy here to Vancouver for a few weeks for no good reason at all.

He sure was one flighty looking kid that was having a hell of a time laying off the curveball.....not to mention the the fact that he was just past skinny back then.

Humble Servant said...

He's a 12-yo ninja and his brain works in ways even his mother cannot fathom.

He's playing something called MLB 2003, and he "earns" a budget to buy players based on his success as a manager, plus he gets 1 or 2 "created" players: ergo, the hamster, who has a 110 mph fastball, an 80 mph curve and nothing else. He seems to think he has gottn Albert Pujols "cheap" since his breakout year was apparently 2003--what good this does when the game is frozen in the 2002 stats I do not comprehend, but then, I am only his mother and I haven't been to Nepal lately.